Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 375.903688 426.424745 482.404437 549.237580 627.122402 715.336152 823.257886
2025-12-07 294.382960 358.964997 436.850804 538.498475 668.823896 831.888438 1053.846789
2025-12-14 252.681538 322.655826 411.784026 535.135904 703.794281 929.812133 1261.586300
2025-12-21 216.535059 286.492293 379.456704 514.205048 708.172122 983.031423 1412.586218
2025-12-28 201.373757 275.299307 377.478311 532.161051 766.009990 1115.767665 1697.145323
2026-01-04 190.065377 267.558367 378.526121 553.292565 829.717495 1264.560164 2031.027803
2026-01-11 175.792205 253.682644 368.633763 555.947396 864.110180 1370.951823 2312.528783
2026-01-18 160.422243 236.464003 351.629989 544.915260 874.042595 1437.117309 2533.666917
2026-01-25 147.325079 221.392356 336.254780 534.346890 882.634550 1500.954484 2760.353280
2026-02-01 140.967580 216.199074 335.829907 548.228140 934.777898 1649.239049 3178.304839
2026-02-08 132.218228 206.340771 326.770895 546.025365 957.235479 1744.723499 3506.168842
2026-02-15 123.788609 196.277961 316.397155 540.207215 971.854085 1826.434890 3819.744300
2026-02-22 117.349337 189.216593 310.818018 543.058769 1004.631266 1952.059033 4266.071774
2026-03-01 109.500685 179.157619 299.187289 533.458110 1011.619010 2025.269312 4606.281936
2026-03-08 103.365926 171.580441 291.270414 529.998232 1030.467590 2126.690492 5039.795410
2026-03-15 95.373961 160.132618 275.400771 509.318079 1010.344111 2137.209167 5238.181954
2026-03-22 93.264737 159.086458 278.604113 527.072200 1075.575115 2356.385248 6062.130101
2026-03-29 91.645400 158.787956 283.138676 547.967793 1150.640052 2612.703108 7067.369502
2026-04-05 87.927691 154.298164 279.220025 550.592790 1183.898890 2770.065695 7819.096407
2026-04-12 82.968802 147.122599 269.484801 539.684288 1183.576487 2839.891626 8311.235328
2026-04-19 78.442873 140.491333 260.352472 529.233961 1183.088049 2909.376006 8823.766166
2026-04-26 76.739767 139.227535 261.946659 542.960086 1244.721654 3162.419741 10061.551366
2026-05-03 73.565614 134.854060 256.821600 540.781971 1265.354068 3301.946474 10931.198681